Population Statistic: Read. React. Repeat.
Saturday, December 31, 2020

getting in
Sports fans are all familiar with the concept of a team that, even if it wins games late in the season, needs help from other teams playing other teams to actually get into the postseason.

But that’s under normal circumstances. So fouled up is the NFC this year that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would actually need help to not get into the playoffs:

The NFL says there is only one set of circumstances in which the Bucs can miss the playoffs.

8 p.m. Saturday: Oakland beats the Giants.

1 p.m. Sunday: The Bucs lose to New Orleans and Carolina wins at Atlanta.

4:15 p.m. Sunday: Washington beats Philadelphia.

8:30 p.m. Sunday: Dallas beats St. Louis.

If all those happen, the NFL would need to figure out the strength of victory tiebreaker to knock out the Bucs, the Giants or the Cowboys (and the Bucs might still get in).

There’s convolution for you.

I’m actually quite amused by this, and by Chicago, the Giants and all these other NFC teams getting on the road to the Super Bowl. Because it’s been painfully obvious, for the past month, that all those teams are the weakest bunch of pretenders to qualify in a long time. There’s no doubt in my mind that whoever comes out of the AFC side — whether it’s the Colts, Broncos, Bengals, etc. — will roll right over the NFC chumps on the other side of the field. So it really doesn’t matter who gets the National Football Conference crown, because they’re going to get crushed in February.

- Costa Tsiokos, Sat 12/31/2005 12:30:22 PM
Category: Football | Permalink |

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  1. So if all this happens you have to figure out which team has beaten teams with the highest win %, but here’s something I don’t know. If you beat a team twice, do you count their win % twice?

    It should be pretty easy to figure out which team has the best strength of victory right now, then figure out if all three teams are actually close enough to each other to matter. After that you have to figure in the games that have to go some certain way, then figure out how the rest of the games affect things.

    Comment by Michael Conlen — 12/31/2005 @ 05:01:08 PM

  2. I’m sure it’s some stats maven’s dream. I’d love to be there if this comes to pass, and some team gets shut out because their strength-of-victory percentage was .001 less than the next team’s :)

    Comment by CT — 12/31/2005 @ 05:39:23 PM

  3. WILD MILD THINGS

    Last night, I happened to express to a fellow partygoer about how the playoff setup in the NFL is largely a bunch of padding: Wild cards pretty much never go anywhere, and are there solely to give division champions game action before the championshi…

    Trackback by Population Statistic — 01/01/2021 @ 12:50:54 PM

  4. NO. 6 WITH A BULLET

    Weeks ago, I made a couple of observations about this year’s NFL playoffs:

    Regardless of which team it is, the AFC Conference Champion will be the Super Bowl winner, owing to the overall weakness of the NFC teams
    The historical futility of l…

    Trackback by Population Statistic — 01/22/2006 @ 06:26:24 PM

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